Win rate
25.5%
25 W / 73 L
Total PnL
$-1,968
realized $-3,580 · unrealized $1,612
Portfolio
$1,612
volume $147,995
Predictions
110
2.3/day · avg $1,345
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 33% +$100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 5% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 75% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 8% $-2,103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-1,034 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Jazz vs. 76ers | 76ers | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks | Trail Blazers | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-1,110 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,034 | $1,034 | 29/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5) | Michigan Wolverines | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $83 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $574 | 15/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 14/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $76 | 09/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $65 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $118 | 07/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 07/03/2026 |
| Jazz vs. 76ers | 76ers | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $93 | 05/03/2026 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $94 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks | Trail Blazers | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,110 | $1,110 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,469 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $601 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $700 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $631 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $746 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $837 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,614 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $157 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $670 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $748 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,487 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,513 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,550 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $162 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $583 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $648 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $672 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $683 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $764 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $814 | 20/07/2026 |