DuneMentat

Other 59% +$16,228 $182,564 vol · 312 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	No	40¢	0¢	$-315	loss
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	67¢	97¢	+$141	win
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	84¢	7¢	$-130	loss
Will Jay Wright be the next UNC Men's Basketball head coach?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	86¢	86¢	$-3	loss
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?	Yes	7¢	20¢	+$83	win
Will David Njoku play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?	No	89¢	95¢	+$3	win
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	Yes	52¢	42¢	$-1	loss
Will Kirk Cousins play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27?	No	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next?	No	87¢	86¢	$-43	loss

Culture 70% +$4,028 $109,080 vol · 273 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Oscar Diaz win Top Chef Season 23?	No	55¢	96¢	$-5	loss
Will Oscar Diaz win Top Chef Season 23?	Yes	63¢	3¢	$-94	loss
Will "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	77¢	88¢	+$12	win
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	65¢	83¢	+$13	win
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	80¢	90¢	+$7	win
Will "Enjin (Gachiakuta)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	80¢	82¢	+$1	win
Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	72¢	58¢	$-4	loss
Will Shinya Iino (Takopi's Original Sin) win Best Director at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	82¢	84¢	+$0	win
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	95¢	98¢	+$12	win
Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win

Esports 0% $-513 $1,045 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	$-255	loss
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-204	loss

Crypto 59% $-637 $7,253 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	90¢	0¢	$-931	loss
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$123	win
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	No	15¢	0¢	$-180	loss
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-100	loss
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Gwyneth Paltrow win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	No	87¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will "Something Beautiful - Miley Cyrus" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?	No	28¢	100¢	+$117	win
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?	No	59¢	100¢	+$73	win

Tech 50% $-719 $13,949 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	78¢	92¢	$-8	loss
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	33¢	8¢	$-370	loss
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?	Yes	14¢	7¢	$-14	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-144	loss
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	No	71¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will Amazon say "Rufus" during earnings call?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Eli Lilly say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$88	win
Will "Night Terror - Dream Theater" win Best Metal Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	88¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	61¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-174	loss

Finance 39% $-1,083 $10,671 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	No	71¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-184	loss
Will S&P Global say "ETF" during earnings call?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$79	win
Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	$-772	loss
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Halda Therapeutics" or "Haida Therapeutics" during earnings call?	No	68¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Politics 62% $-1,595 $132,978 vol · 302 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-434	loss
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	$-372	loss
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	87¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	65¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-289	loss
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	41¢	61¢	+$29	win
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	85¢	97¢	+$7	win
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	65¢	93¢	+$11	win
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?	No	65¢	93¢	+$34	win

Weather 0% $-1,745 $1,745 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?	No	41¢	0¢	$-511	loss
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?	No	49¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	37¢	0¢	$-1,103	loss

Geopolitics 41% $-2,082 $4,471 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	61¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?	No	36¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will JD Vance say "Iran" during Michigan visit?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will JD Vance say "Iran" during Michigan visit?	No	34¢	0¢	$-385	loss
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	6¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during his Rocky Mount visit?	No	66¢	0¢	$-144	loss
Will Vance say "Iran" during his Rocky Mount visit?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-78	loss
Will The Diplomat win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$21	win
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Economy 29% $-3,031 $15,530 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	6¢	4¢	$-42	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	3¢	1¢	$-104	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	5¢	7¢	+$42	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	7¢	8¢	+$3	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?	No	80¢	0¢	$-148	loss
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-115	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-621	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Elections 50% $-9,436 $52,900 vol · 118 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	No	47¢	67¢	+$46	win
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	59¢	85¢	+$10	win
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	40¢	64¢	+$1,134	win
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?	No	77¢	94¢	+$23	win
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	Yes	66¢	86¢	+$27	win
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	33¢	25¢	$-9	loss
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Yes	72¢	92¢	+$19	win
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?	No	73¢	90¢	+$13	win
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?	No	82¢	87¢	+$2	win
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	64¢	78¢	+$5	win

Sports 72% $-11,613 $157,505 vol · 452 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-1,339	loss
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	49¢	42¢	$-6	loss
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	74¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	No	70¢	72¢	+$17	win
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	No	74¢	88¢	+$8	win
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	72¢	78¢	+$11	win
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$10	win
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	80¢	96¢	+$730	win
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	88¢	99¢	+$342	win
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	91¢	92¢	+$28	win