ransack

Geopolitics 64% +$272 $1,804 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	43¢	78¢	+$46	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	43¢	30¢	+$28	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	13¢	0¢	$-13	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	38¢	0¢	$-23	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$24	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	28¢	69¢	+$13	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	67¢	100¢	$-12	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	24¢	44¢	+$20	win
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	40¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	44¢	91¢	$-12	loss

Esports 60% +$69 $284 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	MIBR	78¢	100¢	+$22	win
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5	Over	51¢	100¢	+$24	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)	FlyQuest	44¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rex	Paper Rex	60¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports	Paper Rex	52¢	100¢	+$98	win

Economy 0% $-6 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	39¢	100¢	$-6	loss

Mentions 0% $-50 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	36¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Crypto 48% $-100 $3,119 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$248	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	29¢	50¢	+$4	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	64¢	$-6	loss
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	57¢	32¢	$-33	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	48¢	49¢	+$0	win
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	20¢	16¢	$-9	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	60¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	94¢	100¢	+$8	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 19% $-242 $888 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	70¢	84¢	+$6	win
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	49¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	33¢	0¢	$-24	loss
French election called by October 31?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Politics 43% $-276 $3,123 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	59¢	54¢	+$1	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	56¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	30¢	62¢	+$0	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	43¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	58¢	92¢	+$8	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	57¢	68¢	$-12	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	57¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	40¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Finance 30% $-306 $1,076 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	53¢	94¢	+$28	win
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	35¢	26¢	$-1	loss
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-3	loss
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	28¢	22¢	$-13	loss
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	62¢	34¢	+$5	win
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	44¢	20¢	$-1	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?	No	63¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	13¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	38¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	18¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Culture 36% $-1,104 $10,520 vol · 64 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	No	55¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	39¢	54¢	+$97	win
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	68¢	78¢	+$32	win
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	No	50¢	28¢	$-7	loss
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	Yes	32¢	6¢	$-57	loss
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	52¢	32¢	$-172	loss
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	66¢	58¢	$-26	loss
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	Yes	28¢	4¢	$-37	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-192	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	80¢	0¢	$-13	loss

Tech 33% $-1,656 $6,907 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	No	50¢	0¢	$-856	loss
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?	No	44¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$307	win
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	37¢	100¢	+$145	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$56	win
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	59¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??	No	49¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $320 before 2026??	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-34	loss

Other 43% $-2,174 $16,731 vol · 172 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	43¢	76¢	+$13	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	79¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	44¢	36¢	$-280	loss
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?	No	51¢	80¢	$-1	loss
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	40¢	100¢	$-7	loss
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	57¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	53¢	36¢	$-11	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	14¢	51¢	+$30	win
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	29¢	12¢	+$17	win

Sports 38% $-3,032 $15,866 vol · 212 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$0	win
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	40¢	44¢	+$6	win
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	17¢	+$2	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	19¢	15¢	$-210	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	53¢	55¢	$-2	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	33¢	99¢	$-3	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	22¢	23¢	$-3	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	17¢	20¢	$-25	loss
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	33¢	2¢	$-273	loss
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	58¢	34¢	$-13	loss