JJJAY

Geopolitics 74% +$2,294 $30,937 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	31¢	60¢	+$71	win
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	46¢	74¢	+$30	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	77¢	91¢	+$22	win
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	56¢	62¢	+$12	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	43¢	72¢	+$13	win
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	25¢	10¢	$-28	loss
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by April 30?	No	92¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	73¢	90¢	+$38	win
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	20¢	46¢	+$55	win
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	94¢	96¢	+$2	win

Crypto 60% +$537 $17,218 vol · 49 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?	No	95¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Solana reach $170 in April?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Solana hit $150 in March?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Solana dip to $130 in March?	No	59¢	0¢	$-510	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?	No	13¢	0¢	$-77	loss
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?	No	88¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14?	No	87¢	100¢	+$57	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 13?	Up	7¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Sports 55% +$457 $25,725 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	91¢	90¢	$-19	loss
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	13¢	10¢	$-2	loss
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	20¢	21¢	+$10	win
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	60¢	61¢	+$2	win
Will Orlando Magic advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?	No	55¢	0¢	$-430	loss
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	50¢	0¢	$-1,990	loss
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	68¢	100¢	+$713	win
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	No	57¢	0¢	$-232	loss
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Azamat Murzakanov	63¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Other 76% +$298 $3,826 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?	No	27¢	100¢	$-8	loss
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-172	loss
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Manchester City be relegated?	No	91¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Crystal Palace be relegated?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?	No	77¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will China counter tariff the U.S. in April?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$23	win
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid	Arsenal	85¢	100¢	+$16	win

Politics 59% +$134 $5,445 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China in April?	No	60¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	70¢	100¢	$-54	loss
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?	No	80¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$65	win
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	No	77¢	100¢	+$91	win
Will Biden visit Asheville by Friday?	No	82¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump say "Million" 10 or more times in Wisconsin speech October 1?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$7	win

Tech 100% +$100 $43 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$100	win

Elections 56% $-86 $2,777 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?	No	58¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$85	win
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?	No	91¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$49	win
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$5	win