Win rate
28.9%
28 W / 69 L
Total PnL
$351
realized $-1,130 · unrealized $1,481
Portfolio
$1,481
volume $176,275
Predictions
108
2.2/day · avg $1,632
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 9% +$553
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-927 | loss |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Rockets | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Nuggets | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$1,527 | win |
Geopolitics 92% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Flames | Senators | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 31% $-81
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-927 | $927 | 29/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Rockets | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $83 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $98 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $102 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $640 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $882 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $930 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $115 | 13/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Nuggets | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $74 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $70 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $113 | 07/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Flames | Senators | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $83 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 12? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 31/01/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,527 | $719 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,343 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $684 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $248 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,635 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $723 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $875 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $945 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,684 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $231 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $907 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $933 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $985 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,371 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,613 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $799 | 20/07/2026 |