Win rate
86.5%
109 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$-211
realized $-1,003 · unrealized $792
Portfolio
$792
volume $171,151
Predictions
1,015
31.1/day · avg $169
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 87% +$128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 19? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on April 19? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 19? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 67% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 41¢ | 10¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on April 18? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 18? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on April 18? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 18? | No | 91.8¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on April 18? | No | 92.4¢ | 96¢ | +$2 | $48 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 18? | No | 95.4¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 18? | No | 95.0¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $25 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 17? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 16? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 16? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 16? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 16? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 60°F or higher on April 16? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 15? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 15? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 15? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 14? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 13? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $105 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 12? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on April 11? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 11? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10? | Yes | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $176 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 10? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $38 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 10? | No | 92.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $28 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 10? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 10? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 10? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on April 10? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 10? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 10? | No | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 10? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 10? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $43 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 10? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 10? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $116 | 10/04/2026 |