Win rate
53.1%
375 W / 331 L
Total PnL
$-2,901
realized $-3,467 · unrealized $566
Portfolio
$566
volume $180,227
Predictions
1,245
4.4/day · avg $145
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 0% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 22% $-285
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 54¢ | 22¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 26¢ | 14¢ | $-209 | loss |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 5¢ | $-17 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 1¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
Other 31% $-489
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Yes | 45¢ | 12¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Crypto 54% $-1,003
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - April 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Up | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Up | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Up | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 02/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 54.9¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$279 | $288 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | +$91 | $258 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $85 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $22 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $73 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $112 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $23 | 22/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | Up | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Up | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Up | 43.7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Down | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 68.8¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $50 | 27/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Up | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | Up | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Up | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $50 | 25/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Up | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 25/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $22 | 24/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $50 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $20 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Up | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Down | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $40 | 22/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Up | 33.3¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $40 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Down | 34.5¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $40 | 21/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $50 | 21/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 68.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $45 | 21/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $40 | 21/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Up | 28.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 21/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Up | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 40.3¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $96 | 20/02/2026 |