Win rate
71.0%
193 W / 79 L
Total PnL
$-1,968
realized $-3,330 · unrealized $1,362
Portfolio
$1,362
volume $61,418
Predictions
388
6.0/day · avg $158
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 80% +$632
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Canucks vs. Kings | Kings | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Geopolitics 62% +$63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Senators | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Elections 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 50% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Boilermakers | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | Northern Iowa Panthers | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Finance 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-4 | loss |
Economy 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Tech 25% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 91¢ | 78¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
Crypto 87% $-137
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 2? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 60% $-840
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 89¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 63% $-1,418
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season | Barcząca Esports | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-198 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Anyones Legend | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season | Barcząca Esports | 88.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | B8 | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Natus Vincere | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $400 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Team Falcons | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $300 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $400 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 99¢ | +$47 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Invictus Gaming | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Red Force | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Gen.G | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 11/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Lakers | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $200 | 10/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Kings | Kings | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Flames vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | 76ers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $300 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics | Celtics | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $200 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Pacers | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $101 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $200 | 09/04/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Senators | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $100 | 09/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Mavericks | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 09/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Top Esports | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $200 | 08/04/2026 |