Win rate
33.3%
310 W / 622 L
Total PnL
$-48,335
realized $-53,405 · unrealized $5,070
Portfolio
$5,070
volume $2,552,212
Predictions
1,098
7.5/day · avg $2,324
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 44% +$1,009
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 14¢ | 60¢ | +$294 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 72¢ | 60¢ | $-608 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 56¢ | 40¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 13¢ | 100¢ | +$1,303 | win |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$405 | win |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Elections 67% +$560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$518 | win |
Culture 100% +$269
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | win |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
Geopolitics 22% $-1,000
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 26¢ | 8¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-232 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 65¢ | 96¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 4¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | $-300 | loss |
Finance 67% $-1,121
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5? | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-1,356 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18? | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | win |
Sports 40% $-11,028
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 39¢ | 48¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Iga Swiatek | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-2,894 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmez | Leylah Fernandez | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$2,728 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini | Jasmine Paolini | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-441 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreeva | Jelena Ostapenko | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-178 | loss |
| Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | win |
| Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$422 | win |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-1,680 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Pistons | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$663 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Cavaliers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-401 | loss |
Other 38% $-22,884
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | 39¢ | 31¢ | $-683 | loss |
| Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 35¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | Rafael Jodar | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-990 | loss |
| Set 1 Winner: Machac vs Rublev | Rublev | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$2,127 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Ann Li | Marta Kostyuk | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$1,390 | win |
| BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan | Denis Shapovalov | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-756 | loss |
| Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Fernandez | Rybakina | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-1,445 | loss |
Crypto 31% $-59,179
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Up | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$231 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | Down | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Up | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$285 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saski Baskonia vs. Gran Canaria | Saski Baskonia | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$499 | $500 | 19/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Up | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $710 | 19/04/2026 |
| Saski Baskonia vs. Gran Canaria | Gran Canaria | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-333 | $535 | 19/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,276 | $2,308 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 80¢ | +$1,780 | $2,244 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 46¢ | $-141 | $1,166 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $1,281 | 18/04/2026 |
| Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,300 | $1,300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot | Valentin Vacherot | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-452 | $451 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner | Alexander Zverev | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,181 | $1,181 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 35.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,905 | $1,905 | 18/04/2026 |
| Carlos Alcaraz vs. Valentin Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$50 | $1,000 | 18/04/2026 |
| Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce | Anadolu Efes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-749 | $749 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Valentin Vacherot | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,259 | $1,201 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | $450 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Bublik | Alcaraz | 74.9¢ | 100¢ | +$501 | $1,499 | 17/04/2026 |
| Vacherot vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$299 | $700 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$231 | $189 | 17/04/2026 |
| BC Dubai vs. Valencia | Valencia | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $275 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,953 | $1,955 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $770 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Joao Fonseca | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$160 | $240 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | $205 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Down | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $240 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $122 | 17/04/2026 |
| Jiri Lehecka vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$996 | $1,701 | 16/04/2026 |
| Tomas Machac vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$322 | $681 | 16/04/2026 |
| Alexander Blockx vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,272 | $1,279 | 16/04/2026 |
| Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,238 | $1,237 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,303 | $195 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot | Lorenzo Musetti | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,024 | $1,024 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $80 | 15/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 2 Real Madrid CF? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer | Yes | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-307 | $307 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Maria | Tatjana Maria | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-777 | $776 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $-975 | $999 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,748 | $1,770 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,510 | $3,034 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$559 | $440 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$422 | $1,078 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | $1,050 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,900 | $1,900 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,680 | $1,680 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 0¢ | $-762 | $762 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,050 | $2,050 | 12/04/2026 |
| Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score | No | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-592 | $600 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-820 | $820 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $600 | 11/04/2026 |