Gurupolimarket

Sports 75% +$19,285 $60,379 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of April 13 2026?	No	40¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	38¢	100¢	+$42	win
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	67¢	100¢	$-71	loss
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	44¢	100¢	+$4	win
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	60¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	51¢	100¢	+$1	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 9?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	31¢	0¢	$-142	loss

Elections 76% +$683 $33,663 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17¢	17¢	+$0	win
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	94¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$283	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$18	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$40	win

Crypto 84% +$51 $26,657 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	45¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	78¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	73¢	100¢	+$1	win
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	32¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 8?	Down	7¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	78¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on March 26?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 100% +$8 $1,239 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 80-89 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$3	win

Weather 75% $-22 $445 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?	No	77¢	100¢	$-23	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 60% $-30 $4,285 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	89¢	100¢	$-13	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	61¢	0¢	$-19	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 0% $-80 $80 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5	Under	44¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)	M80	73¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Politics 67% $-522 $15,050 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-22	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	15¢	21¢	+$118	win
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?	No	6¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-515	loss

Economy 67% $-545 $2,216 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-550	loss

Tech 85% $-1,707 $240,482 vol · 227 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	37¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	43¢	0¢	+$1	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	100¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 15?	Down	5¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	11¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	46¢	0¢	+$6	win
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	56¢	0¢	+$1	win

Other 74% $-3,150 $208,104 vol · 261 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45¢	21¢	$-294	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	84¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	34¢	7¢	$-131	loss
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	92¢	99¢	+$1	win
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	21¢	1¢	$-10	loss
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	57¢	64¢	$-22	loss
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	87¢	100¢	+$6	win
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	32¢	100¢	+$2	win
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 77% $-4,785 $576,140 vol · 194 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	2¢	2¢	$-23	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	16¢	0¢	$-37	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	43¢	0¢	+$12	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Down	30¢	0¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	55¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?	Up	47¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 15?	Down	51¢	0¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	81¢	100¢	+$9	win

Culture 56% $-8,981 $21,610 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	34¢	47¢	+$19	win
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	40¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-8,293	loss
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$89	win
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-252	loss
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	83¢	0¢	$-740	loss
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$0	win