dnaghsa

Other 81% +$2,172 $27,369 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	75¢	78¢	+$13	win
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	84¢	89¢	+$12	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	45¢	80¢	+$21	win
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	31¢	48¢	+$415	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	16¢	48¢	+$150	win
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	89¢	98¢	+$161	win
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	81¢	95¢	+$788	win
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima	Arthur Fils	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	63¢	100¢	+$29	win
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	94¢	100¢	+$12	win

Economy 65% +$160 $11,570 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	71¢	68¢	$-20	loss
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?	Yes	47¢	43¢	$-4	loss
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	96¢	+$5	win
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?	Yes	54¢	48¢	$-7	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	86¢	99¢	+$13	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$19	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$137	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-287	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	69¢	100¢	+$14	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$93	win

Finance 100% +$56 $900 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	83¢	88¢	+$56	win

Politics 75% +$5 $319 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$2	win
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Sports 54% $-83 $3,518 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	15¢	8¢	$-12	loss
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?	No	60¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?	No	45¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$79	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?	Yes	40¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-219	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in April?	No	80¢	100¢	+$14	win

Elections 0% $-85 $521 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-81	loss