A69420

Elections 73% +$3,075 $27,856 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$219	win
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$483	win
Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-474	loss
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$929	win
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$365	win
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$176	win
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?	No	70¢	100¢	+$1,068	win

Sports 80% +$2,391 $28,841 vol · 60 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	82¢	100¢	+$36	win
Mavericks vs. Clippers	Clippers	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Heat vs. Raptors	Raptors	94¢	100¢	+$13	win
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	85¢	100¢	+$30	win
Cavaliers vs. Warriors	Cavaliers	74¢	100¢	+$13	win
Spurs vs. Clippers	Spurs	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Celtics vs. Heat	Celtics	96¢	100¢	+$10	win
Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Raptors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	91¢	100¢	+$45	win
Raptors vs. Nuggets	Raptors	35¢	0¢	+$27	win

Finance 100% +$928 $2,084 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	62¢	70¢	+$7	win
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$798	win
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?	No	35¢	100¢	+$100	win

Other 81% +$600 $29,319 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	48¢	32¢	$-315	loss
Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$129	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	70¢	92¢	$-3	loss
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	8¢	0¢	$-822	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	92¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	No	69¢	100¢	+$938	win
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	Yes	34¢	0¢	+$2	win
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$153	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$131	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$13	win

Esports 50% +$0 $300 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	77¢	100¢	+$69	win
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	69¢	0¢	$-69	loss

Politics 69% $-191 $6,942 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	82¢	0¢	$-205	loss
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?	No	38¢	0¢	$-427	loss
Will Trump visit Springfield in September?	No	65¢	100¢	+$351	win
Will Donald Trump say "golf" during his Uniondale rally?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Donald Trump say "Springfield" during his Michigan town hall?	No	93¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?	No	71¢	100¢	+$18	win

Mentions 44% $-372 $1,637 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	65¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-226	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-129	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	$-54	loss
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$96	win
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?	Yes	33¢	100¢	+$26	win

Crypto 53% $-1,155 $7,299 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	61¢	100¢	+$44	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	79¢	100¢	+$29	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	45¢	100¢	+$27	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	76¢	100¢	+$26	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	45¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	45¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	85¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	24¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	45¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	31¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Geopolitics 62% $-1,834 $28,986 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$11	win
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	No	8¢	0¢	$-77	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$247	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	0¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	3¢	1¢	$-13	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	27¢	4¢	$-373	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	75¢	8¢	$-635	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	90¢	92¢	+$30	win
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?	No	7¢	0¢	+$3	win