← Back
0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
63.7%
86 W / 49 L
Total PnL
$29,693
realized $-7,471 · unrealized $37,163
Portfolio
$37,163
volume $6,287,304
Predictions
127
4.1/day · avg $49,506
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$27,520
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$3,467 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1,750 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$490 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$410 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | +$349 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 65¢ | 78¢ | +$125 | win |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 17¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 15¢ | 13¢ | $-119 | loss |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | $-17 | loss |
Other 52% +$3,360
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 21¢ | 46¢ | +$15,029 | win |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$127 | win |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | Yes | 17¢ | 2¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 72¢ | 56¢ | $-12,330 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | Yes | 13¢ | 2¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$283 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 8¢ | $-15 | loss |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,742 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-3,070 | loss |
Politics 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | No | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 8% $-1,137
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30? | No | 70¢ | 98¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | Yes | 30¢ | 2¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by April 30? | Yes | 33¢ | 6¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 2¢ | +$3,613 | $2,497 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | $-2,205 | $35,927 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | Yes | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $-283 | $283 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March? | Yes | 29.6¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | $328 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | +$3,561 | $2,728 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,795 | $859 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | +$1,782 | $1,359 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,194 | $1,220 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,144 | $2,440 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | Yes | 18.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,072 | $712 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$508 | $247 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | Yes | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$505 | $632 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$333 | $470 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 21.7¢ | 0¢ | +$196 | $668 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | +$122 | $1,898 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | Yes | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $398 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $1,126 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | No | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $933 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | +$52 | $220 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | Yes | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $7,953 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $574 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,897 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? | Yes | 37.8¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $336 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $129 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $918 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | No | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $527 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $80 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | No | 77.9¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $593 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | $283 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-390 | $890 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | $-400 | $900 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-435 | $2,752 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | $-672 | $2,049 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-845 | $1,005 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-994 | $3,375 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,491 | $1,305 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,742 | $407 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-2,220 | $14,870 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3,070 | $2,684 | 31/03/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3,879 | $4,680 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 19¢ | +$12 | $318 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 46.9¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $263 | 27/03/2026 |