Win rate
29.2%
26 W / 63 L
Total PnL
$-945
realized $-2,028 · unrealized $1,083
Portfolio
$1,083
volume $252,793
Predictions
100
2.2/day · avg $2,528
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 54% +$566
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$492 | win |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-493 | loss |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Tennessee Volunteers | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | TCU Horned Frogs | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$307 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 12% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
Politics 6% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 67% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Finance 0% $-178
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-178 | loss |
Sports 6% $-1,306
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Heat | 76ers | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-1,203 | loss |
| Magic vs. Heat | Heat | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Utah vs. Flyers | Utah | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Heat | 76ers | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,203 | $1,203 | 30/03/2026 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Tennessee Volunteers | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $97 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $96 | 22/03/2026 |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | TCU Horned Frogs | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $83 | 19/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Heat | Heat | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $109 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$307 | $119 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 08/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Panthers | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $60 | 07/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Oilers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $83 | 07/03/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flyers | Utah | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $90 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $139 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 03/02/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-178 | $178 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $4,851 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $845 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,402 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,538 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,716 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,418 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,469 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,598 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,629 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,660 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,992 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $891 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $817 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $832 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $862 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,023 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,053 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,387 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,437 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,795 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $3,695 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,994 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $3,198 | 20/07/2026 |