Win rate
36.0%
9 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-1,891
realized $-16,770 · unrealized $14,879
Portfolio
$14,879
volume $275,237
Predictions
21
0.6/day · avg $13,107
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 53% +$1,010
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 77¢ | 67¢ | $-112 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-7,797 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 66¢ | $-21 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-601 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$504 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$471 | win |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | loss |
Politics 0% $-490
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 59¢ | 61¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19¢ | 21¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 61¢ | 68¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | loss |
Other 0% $-4,940
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74¢ | 78¢ | $-2,363 | loss |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Recent Trades (25)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-420 | $840 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-601 | $1,466 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 74.1¢ | 100¢ | +$504 | $2,215 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$476 | $3,239 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | +$471 | $2,545 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$274 | $2,000 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$560 | $989 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | No | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$351 | $2,454 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $1,920 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $86 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $1,000 | 01/01/1970 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 62.4¢ | 96¢ | +$6,963 | $14,470 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 66.0¢ | 66¢ | $-21 | $2,818 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78.0¢ | 78¢ | $-2,376 | $7,011 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 65.5¢ | 67¢ | $-100 | $2,444 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 61.1¢ | 68¢ | $-21 | $12,167 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 77.5¢ | 67¢ | $-112 | $2,436 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74.3¢ | 78¢ | $-2,363 | $4,746 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-7,797 | $9,310 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 47.9¢ | 48¢ | $-27 | $3,085 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 58.9¢ | 61¢ | $-3 | $250 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 21¢ | $-46 | $500 | 07/11/2028 |