Win rate
60.2%
112 W / 74 L
Total PnL
$-417
realized $-1,916 · unrealized $1,498
Portfolio
$1,498
volume $33,061
Predictions
368
2.8/day · avg $90
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 100% +$30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Vici Gaming | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs AaB esport (BO3) | HyperSpirit | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs | Inner Circle | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$13 | win |
Tech 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 50% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 50% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 47¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 68% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonova | Liudmila Samsonova | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomova | Laura Siegemund | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 25% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Joao Lucas Da Silva | 54¢ | 54¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
Weather 33% $-65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on March 24? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Finance 69% $-84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 70¢ | 69¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 24,000 by March 20? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Other 55% $-130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | +$0 | — |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | 46¢ | 36¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026 | Yes | 28¢ | 20¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 49¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 64¢ | $-0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $69 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Canadiens | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Rangers | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-04-12? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk | CSKA Moscow | 59.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12? | No | 77.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Kings | Kings | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Capitals | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Knicks | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Hornets | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 23, 2026? | Yes | 21.2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Raptors | Raptors | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Clippers | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Hornets | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Heat | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $65 | 27/03/2026 |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $43 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 64.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $30 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 75.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $32 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on March 24? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $24 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 24,000 by March 20? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $30 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $38 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $62 | 15/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Knicks | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Spurs vs. 76ers | Spurs | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $26 | 04/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Bulls | Thunder | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Hornets | Hornets | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Pistons | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 03/03/2026 |