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0x5316E6519c11735B57E1b551b08F33F21e2f643
0x2512f86d61fa99417f150c27ea86311b68068d97 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
53.3%
40 W / 35 L
Total PnL
$-823
realized $-6,308 · unrealized $5,485
Portfolio
$5,485
volume $221,019
Predictions
60
10.3/day · avg $3,684
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 58% +$698
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 81¢ | 90¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
Other 78% +$108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$12 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 53¢ | 62¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-558 | loss |
Politics 50% $-364
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40¢ | 39¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$19 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
Geopolitics 48% $-1,402
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30¢ | 24¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 67¢ | 76¢ | +$224 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 70¢ | 72¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 32¢ | 28¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$427 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-355 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $894 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $403 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $8,260 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 57.2¢ | 9¢ | $-88 | $113 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 34.4¢ | 0¢ | $-187 | $187 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | $303 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 70.1¢ | 91¢ | +$52 | $194 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | +$787 | $255 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$71 | $2,228 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $231 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $577 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 4.7¢ | 1¢ | $-245 | $544 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 83.7¢ | 100¢ | $-558 | $5,334 | 12/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 66.4¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $52 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 90¢ | +$93 | $381 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 44.9¢ | 10¢ | $-87 | $287 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 26¢ | $-1 | $78 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 41.7¢ | 32¢ | +$96 | $3,490 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 69.7¢ | 68¢ | $-332 | $4,656 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 64.2¢ | 46¢ | $-613 | $3,679 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 48.2¢ | 54¢ | $-118 | $1,519 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 95.8¢ | 99¢ | +$14 | $479 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 45¢ | $-71 | $426 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 52.0¢ | 48¢ | $-17 | $230 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 39.1¢ | 58¢ | +$46 | $122 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 34.2¢ | 42¢ | +$19 | $124 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 95.2¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $88 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 34.0¢ | 42¢ | $-8 | $261 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $118 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 78.1¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | $81 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 38¢ | +$12 | $37 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 39.4¢ | 52¢ | +$9 | $93 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 53.0¢ | 62¢ | +$8 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 96.7¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $175 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 65.9¢ | 86¢ | $-5 | $42 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 36.0¢ | 8¢ | $-15 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 6¢ | $-17 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | $-40 | $2,673 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 30.6¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 25.0¢ | 14¢ | $-72 | $1,045 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 75.1¢ | 96¢ | +$14 | $53 | 15/05/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 27.0¢ | 4¢ | $-373 | $733 | 15/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 34.6¢ | 38¢ | +$36 | $327 | 31/05/2026 |