Hunbet1

Geopolitics 71% +$1,387 $13,761 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	35¢	18¢	$-354	loss
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	33¢	67¢	+$23	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	57¢	80¢	+$196	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$46	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$28	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$11	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	43¢	78¢	+$9	win
Will Mark Rutte say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during meeting with Prime Minister of Czechia?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	+$96	win

Culture 100% +$2 $105 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	71¢	8¢	+$2	win

Politics 54% $-379 $2,751 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	65¢	58¢	+$26	win
Will Leavitt say "Peace Deal" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-438	loss
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$326	win
Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Tax" 20+ times during National Agriculture Day events?	No	39¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-351	loss

Elections 75% $-601 $6,669 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	32¢	8¢	+$6	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-492	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?	No	78¢	100¢	+$113	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$112	win
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	88¢	97¢	+$66	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-540	loss
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	80¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$2	win

Sports 60% $-883 $3,046 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sharks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5	Over	89¢	100¢	+$127	win
Rangers vs. Lightning	Lightning	9¢	0¢	+$27	win
Red Wings vs. Panthers	Red Wings	12¢	0¢	$-360	loss
Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5	Over	86¢	0¢	$-720	loss
Canadiens vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5	Over	87¢	100¢	+$43	win

Other 35% $-1,724 $14,438 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	71¢	99¢	$-14	loss
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	49¢	40¢	$-1	loss
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	42¢	40¢	$-23	loss
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	34¢	69¢	+$53	win
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5	Over	49¢	0¢	$-1,186	loss
Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	86¢	0¢	$-1,334	loss
Martin Landaluce vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	58¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$688	win
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-17?	Yes	44¢	8¢	$-735	loss
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-17?	No	37¢	34¢	$-30	loss