Win rate
3.1%
1 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$-231
realized $-1,239 · unrealized $1,008
Portfolio
$1,008
volume $52,518
Predictions
32
1.4/day · avg $1,641
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 8% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Cavaliers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | 76ers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Utah vs. Kraken | Kraken | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-157
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 20¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 8¢ | $-40 | loss |
Recent Trades (32)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $854 | 13/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies | Cavaliers | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $60 | 07/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | 76ers | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 07/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Kraken | Kraken | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $743 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $768 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $823 | 16/05/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 6¢ | $-9 | $81 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 8¢ | $-40 | $160 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,009 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $846 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $849 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $798 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $800 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $862 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,008 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,010 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $678 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $800 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,033 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,042 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 20¢ | $-116 | $295 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $760 | 30/04/2027 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $813 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $824 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $880 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $996 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,001 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,008 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,016 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,029 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,996 | 07/11/2028 |