Win rate
50.9%
88 W / 85 L
Total PnL
$-5,451
realized $-7,060 · unrealized $1,609
Portfolio
$1,609
volume $745,131
Predictions
468
2.8/day · avg $1,592
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 33% +$1,535
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Pistons | Pistons | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Blackhawks vs. Capitals | Capitals | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$190 | win |
| Rockets vs. Nets | Rockets | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1,467 | win |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | Avalanche | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
Esports 100% +$134
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) | Team Liquid Brazil | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | T1 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
Crypto 74% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 18¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Mentions 33% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Tech 25% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 17? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on February 17? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Finance 17% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24? | Down | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
Elections 0% $-453
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-388 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-677
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 9¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-332 | loss |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 14% $-844
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-734 | loss |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
Politics 0% $-2,613
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-402 | loss |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-2,185 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's State of the Union? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Other 30% $-2,863
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-1,426 | loss |
| Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-1,010 | loss |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 67¢ | 64¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 63¢ | 65¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka | Sebastian Baez | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Nava | Emilio Nava | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-11 | $3,042 | 20/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 80.0¢ | 0¢ | $-328 | $333 | 18/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan Wawrinka | Sebastian Baez | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $131 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Emilio Nava | Emilio Nava | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $250 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $1,009 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $122 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $660 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $258 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $179 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-332 | $850 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $2,060 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $817 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $438 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,209 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $809 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,182 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,199 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $2,480 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,149 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $989 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,171 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? | Yes | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $1,104 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $134 | 15/03/2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $259 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $530 | 14/03/2026 |
| Khamenei seen in public by February 28? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $199 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13? | Yes | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $392 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $349 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $333 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | No | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $22 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10? | Yes | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $228 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $329 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | No | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $48 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9? | Yes | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $204 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $100 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $88 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $1,082 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4? | Yes | 20.6¢ | 100¢ | +$762 | $310 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,076 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4? | No | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $432 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $418 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $418 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $925 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-147 | $612 | 01/03/2026 |
| US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $149 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $2,838 | 28/02/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $120 | 28/02/2026 |