Win rate
77.3%
300 W / 88 L
Total PnL
$-2,041
realized $-2,618 · unrealized $577
Portfolio
$577
volume $72,135
Predictions
923
8.4/day · avg $78
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 85% +$75
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Avalanche vs. Ducks | Avalanche | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Magic | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Trail Blazers | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bucks vs. Thunder | Thunder | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Clippers | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Celtics | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 80% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | No | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | No | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65¢ | 74¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 34¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | No | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs | San Diego State Aztecs | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
Esports 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | MOUZ | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Finance 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Politics 75% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 42¢ | 36¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$3 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 16% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 65¢ | 64¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? | Yes | 96¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? | Yes | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat? | Yes | 95¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-26 House seat? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 57% $-317
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 70¢ | 70¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 65¢ | 30¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$14 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 78¢ | 76¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$12 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 83% $-1,652
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | Down | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 6? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 18/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 82¢ | +$1 | $48 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026? | No | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $56 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 25.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 32.6¢ | 81¢ | +$5 | $23 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 12.5¢ | 19¢ | $-4 | $48 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 57.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $147 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 09/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | MOUZ | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $267 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $44 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $107 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 8? | Yes | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $49 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $409 | 07/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $34 | 07/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | Down | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $53 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7? | Yes | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 07/03/2026 |
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs | San Diego State Aztecs | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 6? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $72 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 05/03/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Ducks | Avalanche | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $57 | 04/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Magic | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $91 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $93 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $97 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4? | Yes | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $67 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4? | No | 93.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $94 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 3? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | No | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $47 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $83 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $45 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | 88.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 81.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $45 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1AM ET | Down | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $24 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $59 | 16/02/2026 |