BeanC0unter

Geopolitics 53% +$11,398 $94,732 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	52¢	70¢	$-10	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	36¢	70¢	+$209	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	57¢	82¢	+$182	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	22¢	0¢	+$96	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$14	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	36¢	0¢	+$8	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	49¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$57	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	42¢	0¢	$-143	loss

Elections 57% +$6,786 $31,084 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	86¢	83¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	65¢	64¢	+$757	win
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	29¢	39¢	+$10	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	13¢	24¢	+$921	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	62¢	88¢	+$670	win
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	44¢	0¢	$-430	loss
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	44¢	0¢	$-478	loss
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	34¢	96¢	+$560	win
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	19¢	1¢	$-65	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	15¢	10¢	+$11	win

Finance 40% +$2,614 $15,142 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	32¢	56¢	+$506	win
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	60¢	66¢	$-1	loss
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	13¢	26¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12¢	18¢	$-33	loss
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	18¢	5¢	+$99	win
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	65¢	95¢	+$10	win
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	7¢	0¢	$-259	loss
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	No	7¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	23¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	6¢	0¢	+$187	win

Politics 46% +$1,700 $32,256 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20¢	28¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	+$213	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-161	loss
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	26¢	84¢	+$39	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	44¢	58¢	+$83	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-143	loss
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	45¢	100¢	$-35	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$93	win
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	11¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?	No	16¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Tech 53% +$1,491 $5,221 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	Yes	3¢	6¢	$-14	loss
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?	No	18¢	0¢	+$28	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$101	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	4¢	0¢	+$1,254	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	No	6¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	31¢	100¢	+$608	win
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?	No	47¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?	No	55¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$32	win
Will David Corenswet rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win

Esports 61% +$697 $8,373 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
League of Legends: DRX vs. BNK FEARX	DRX	35¢	100¢	+$0	—
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. T1	T1	80¢	100¢	+$152	win
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming	Bilibili Gaming	53¢	100¢	+$0	—
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gaming	Invictus Gaming	46¢	0¢	$-28	loss
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming	Weibo Gaming	10¢	0¢	$-44	loss
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecs	OKSavingsBank	72¢	0¢	$-260	loss
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRX	Dplus KIA	75¢	100¢	+$50	win
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Team WE	Team WE	69¢	100¢	+$31	win
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. EDward Gaming	EDward Gaming	61¢	0¢	$-179	loss
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Top Esports	Top Esports	76¢	100¢	+$77	win

Culture 42% +$71 $1,006 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	37¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?	Yes	26¢	100¢	+$155	win
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	No	65¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-156	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	15¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	29¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Economy 0% $-230 $230 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?	No	11¢	0¢	$-230	loss

Crypto 64% $-309 $9,409 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-240	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$106	win
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-733	loss
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	No	51¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	63¢	0¢	+$284	win

Sports 43% $-447 $11,756 vol · 68 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	26¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Jets vs. Patriots	Jets	15¢	0¢	$-157	loss
Eagles vs. Packers	Packers	48¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?	No	4¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Mystics vs Fever	Fever	57¢	0¢	$-227	loss
Liberty vs Aces	Aces	56¢	100¢	+$217	win
Pirates vs. Brewers	Brewers	68¢	100¢	+$89	win
Padres vs. Giants	Padres	56¢	100¢	+$79	win

Other 42% $-1,659 $53,710 vol · 161 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	No	70¢	100¢	+$165	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	23¢	38¢	+$32	win
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	Yes	2¢	9¢	+$13	win
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	64¢	79¢	+$12	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	22¢	16¢	+$0	—
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	No	82¢	80¢	$-1	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-7	loss
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	0¢	1¢	+$280	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	6¢	6¢	$-6	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	16¢	48¢	$-14	loss