predictgeek

Economy 56% +$5,185 $1,048,400 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$15,249	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-15,089	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$134	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-1,810	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1,747	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3,938	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	$-4,605	loss
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$76	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-2,569	loss

Sports 46% +$4,811 $131,998 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	8¢	15¢	+$201	win
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	50¢	100¢	+$530	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe	Rinky Hijikata	21¢	0¢	$-762	loss
Oilers vs. Sharks	Sharks	37¢	0¢	$-576	loss
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5	Over	11¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	77¢	100¢	$-52	loss
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Predators vs. Kings	Predators	52¢	100¢	+$252	win
Bulls vs. Knicks	Knicks	89¢	100¢	+$20	win

Esports 46% +$3,602 $14,407 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	52¢	44¢	$-40	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	MOUZ	40¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	39¢	0¢	$-273	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Playoffs	Fennel	61¢	100¢	+$86	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	97¢	100¢	+$14	win
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffs	Crashers	70¢	50¢	$-75	loss
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	MOUZ	77¢	100¢	+$135	win
Dota 2: 1win vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	1win	75¢	100¢	+$99	win
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha	Gentle Mates	70¢	100¢	+$17	win

Culture 43% +$1,485 $8,701 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Pedro Boscardin Dias	80¢	100¢	+$5	win
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Meza	Alvaro Guillen Meza	6¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Asuncion: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Hernando Escurra	Pedro Boscardin Dias	89¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-214	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-151	loss
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$205	win
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Man's Best Friend (Sabrina Carpenter) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	$-174	loss
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	$-182	loss

Geopolitics 54% +$1,416 $96,279 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	81¢	100¢	+$581	win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	45¢	7¢	$-42	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	15¢	100¢	+$107	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	$-6,734	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$6,938	win
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	62¢	0¢	$-639	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	79¢	0¢	$-656	loss
Senators vs. Capitals	Capitals	48¢	100¢	+$209	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$6,466	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	$-4,790	loss

Politics 50% +$583 $20,518 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$68	win
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	No	1¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-971	loss
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?	No	98¢	100¢	$-2,300	loss
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win

Weather 100% +$108 $98 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	No	47¢	100¢	+$108	win

Elections 33% $-953 $5,140 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-2,090	loss
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	3¢	0¢	+$1,890	win
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-752	loss

Tech 39% $-1,616 $70,707 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	79¢	27¢	+$32	win
Will Google dip to $255 in April?	No	93¢	99¢	$-29	loss
Will Amazon reach $232 in April?	No	44¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?	No	95¢	99¢	+$11	win
Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?	No	93¢	90¢	$-1	loss
Will Meta reach $770 in April?	No	93¢	87¢	$-6	loss
Will Apple dip to $200 in April?	No	92¢	99¢	+$7	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	95¢	96¢	$-267	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	2¢	1¢	+$1,123	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	98¢	99¢	$-1,111	loss

Crypto 57% $-8,058 $229,064 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$3,066	win
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$127	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	$-6,187	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	$-14,536	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$122	win
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?	No	96¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	No	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-188	loss
Will Solana reach $150 in February?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Other 46% $-13,630 $437,019 vol · 229 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$7,279	win
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	$-16,559	loss
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1,267	loss
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-345	loss
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-115	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	7¢	6¢	+$311	win
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2,100	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	94¢	96¢	$-20	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	90¢	94¢	$-244	loss
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2,093	win