proposal123

Other 100% +$257 $209,986 vol · 509 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Block Street FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by February 28, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Daniel Jones play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Daniel Jones play for Houston Texans in 2026-27?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Khalil Mack play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tyler Lanier get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 100% +$149 $110,014 vol · 326 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Los Angeles Clippers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Athletics	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Racing Bulls get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Esteban Ocon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 100% +$114 $78,751 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 9.00% and 9.50%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ryan Binkley be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 100% +$99 $47,633 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 5, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 1, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 100% +$81 $63,194 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Matthew Rhys win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "I'm The Problem" by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 28?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Mountain" by Gorillaz be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 100% +$34 $22,560 vol · 36 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump post "Poll" or "Polling" this week on Truth Social?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Remigio Ancalle win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will PCC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win between 120 and 134 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 100% +$28 $21,997 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 3.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 19?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 20?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $165?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 16 above $295?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $200?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 100% +$16 $13,612 vol · 42 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner	Marsborne	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs Sinners (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage	Sinners	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Phantom	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Valorant: LYON vs STREAMER ARENA - Map 2 Winner	LYON	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 100% +$13 $9,654 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kenneth Walker III play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Kenneth Walker III play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Paradex launch a token on March 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin above 70,400 on March 21, 11PM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin above 71,000 on March 21, 10PM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum above 2,045 on March 21, 10PM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum above 2,040 on March 21, 11PM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum above 2,215 on March 21, 9AM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum above 2,095 on March 21, 9AM ET?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Ethereum above 2,190 on March 21, 10AM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$9 $7,106 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Coppin State Eagles vs. Howard Bison: O/U 138.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 151.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the U.K.’s October–December 2025 unemployment rate be ≥5.4%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 2.5%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 100% +$4 $3,955 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 8?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 22?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on March 19?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or higher on March 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 147.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Stanford Cardinal vs. Miami Hurricanes (W)	Miami Hurricanes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 100% +$3 $1,399 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Finance 100% +$1 $1,286 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $2.0B and $2.1B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Pam" or "Bondi" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will S&P Global say "Kensho" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win