Win rate
56.3%
58 W / 45 L
Total PnL
$634
realized $-3,104 · unrealized $3,737
Portfolio
$3,737
volume $40,556
Predictions
160
4.6/day · avg $253
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 58% +$554
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? | Yes | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat? | Yes | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? | Yes | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat? | Yes | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 48% +$73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida? | Yes | 86¢ | 94¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | No | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | No | 90¢ | 72¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | No | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 77¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 50% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 45¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Sports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $37 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | No | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $99 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $136 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $55 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $46 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | No | 45.0¢ | 97¢ | $-4 | $46 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre? | No | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $27 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $31 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $118 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $26 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $699 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $223 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $21 | 08/03/2026 |
| Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $1,029 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | Yes | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $198 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $60 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $38 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote? | Yes | 36.2¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | Yes | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $142 | 01/02/2026 |
| Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child? | No | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $88 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | $253 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $2,083 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 44.1¢ | 58¢ | +$5 | $22 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 91.5¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $37 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $75 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | No | 70.2¢ | 88¢ | +$43 | $175 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? | No | 81.8¢ | 93¢ | +$26 | $182 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 60¢ | +$2 | $26 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | No | 97.9¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | $60 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | $30 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | No | 78.5¢ | 55¢ | $-5 | $31 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | No | 83.9¢ | 58¢ | $-30 | $59 | 19/05/2026 |
| Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | Yes | 63.6¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $101 | 22/05/2026 |
| Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $201 | 22/05/2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | +$22 | $103 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 36.9¢ | 60¢ | +$25 | $44 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 68.0¢ | 60¢ | +$0 | $34 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | Yes | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $28 | 26/05/2026 |
| Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | No | 79.2¢ | 96¢ | +$90 | $435 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 29.5¢ | 36¢ | +$23 | $61 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $94 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 1¢ | $-10 | $39 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 53.0¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | $31 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 74¢ | +$10 | $22 | 09/06/2026 |
| Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $114 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | No | 67.0¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | $61 | 16/06/2026 |