Win rate
67.2%
92 W / 45 L
Total PnL
$1,205
realized $-229 · unrealized $1,434
Portfolio
$1,434
volume $104,213
Predictions
700
0.5/day · avg $149
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 71% +$235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? | Yes | 5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | No | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20m and 30m views? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZ | paiN | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 80% +$124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Epstein Presidential Parlay | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" by March 28? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" or "Sleepy Joe" during Digital Asset Summit? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump negative approval before March? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Trump say "IQ" at CPAC conference on Saturday? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Trump post about Sam Altman by Friday? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 22? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
Crypto 65% +$79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | Up | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | Up | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | Down | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? | Up | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | Down | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Esports 100% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Tech 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 67% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah be the next President of Namibia? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 64% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | win |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Panthers | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Panthers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Oilers | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes | Panthers | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Stars | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Panthers | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Oilers | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
Mentions 50% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Culture 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
Weather 60% $-644
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 17? | Yes | 34¢ | 52¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 17? | Yes | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 13? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 26? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on March 25? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 17? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 99¢ | +$136 | $481 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on April 17? | Yes | 84.9¢ | 88¢ | +$12 | $414 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 99¢ | +$82 | $220 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 17? | Yes | 34.4¢ | 52¢ | +$24 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17? | Yes | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17? | Yes | 51.1¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 17? | Yes | 67.3¢ | 99¢ | +$14 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 13? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 26? | No | 90.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $82 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on March 25? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $42 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 24? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $95 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10? | No | 85.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $95 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$72 | $33 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | No | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $34 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20m and 30m views? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $26 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $22 | 31/12/2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $59 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files? | No | 53.8¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $100 | 30/06/2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $92 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $564 | 30/06/2025 |
| Epstein Presidential Parlay | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $22 | 30/06/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 25/06/2025 |
| BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZ | paiN | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 22/06/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $100 | 20/06/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Panthers | Oilers | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-194 | $194 | 17/06/2025 |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Panthers | 47.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 14/06/2025 |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Panthers | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $97 | 12/06/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Oilers | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $50 | 06/06/2025 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes | Panthers | 38.5¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $57 | 05/06/2025 |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Stars | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 04/06/2025 |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Panthers | 42.7¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $128 | 03/06/2025 |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Oilers | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $120 | 01/06/2025 |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Panthers | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $58 | 01/06/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Oilers | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $94 | 31/05/2025 |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Pacers | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $31 | 31/05/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $193 | 31/05/2025 |
| Oilers vs. Stars | Stars | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $56 | 29/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? | Up | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $301 | 27/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | Up | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $37 | 20/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $50 | 19/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 19/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $50 | 18/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18? | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $50 | 18/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? | Down | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $32 | 14/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? | Up | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $36 | 13/05/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22? | Down | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 22/04/2025 |