Win rate
38.1%
16 W / 26 L
Total PnL
$-74
realized $-899 · unrealized $825
Portfolio
$825
volume $161,117
Predictions
66
2.4/day · avg $2,441
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 40% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 14% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 47% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,088 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $519 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $514 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,115 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $565 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $520 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $34 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $849 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 08/02/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 17/09/2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | Yes | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $923 | 29/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $923 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 97.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $840 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $930 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $46 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 88.6¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $610 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 3¢ | $-37 | $116 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | $33 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $556 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $515 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $556 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $518 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $824 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | $23 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $907 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $819 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 2¢ | $-11 | $47 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $556 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $553 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 75.5¢ | 76¢ | $-3 | $1,064 | 30/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 91.9¢ | 94¢ | +$13 | $813 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 24¢ | +$2 | $401 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $825 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 15¢ | +$5 | $166 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94.4¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $327 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83.6¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $1,584 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $871 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $826 | 12/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 11¢ | $-0 | $121 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | $302 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.8¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $1,559 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $145 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $844 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 91.2¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $827 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97.2¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $923 | 01/11/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 93.5¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $934 | 19/12/2026 |