Win rate
66.7%
8 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$-594
realized $-3,461 · unrealized $2,867
Portfolio
$2,867
volume $17,560
Predictions
18
0.5/day · avg $976
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Elections 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 0% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
Politics 50% $-235
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Geopolitics 75% $-271
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$65 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 31¢ | 7¢ | $-499 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Recent Trades (12)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | $2,773 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 31.4¢ | 7¢ | $-499 | $652 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $710 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$141 | $480 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $644 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 17/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $186 | 13/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $258 | 01/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 88.0¢ | 73¢ | $-512 | $3,001 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | $-2 | $226 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 17.4¢ | 28¢ | +$65 | $119 | 31/05/2026 |