Win rate
75.0%
6 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$564
realized $-1,967 · unrealized $2,531
Portfolio
$2,531
volume $26,448
Predictions
9
4.1/day · avg $2,939
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$721
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$721 | win |
Geopolitics 67% +$598
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 29¢ | 29¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-82 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 68¢ | +$88 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$53 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
Politics 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 16¢ | +$8 | win |
Recent Trades (8)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | +$477 | $3,380 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $365 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 94¢ | +$53 | $536 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 25.5¢ | 68¢ | +$88 | $92 | 19/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 45.0¢ | 50¢ | +$721 | $4,402 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 16¢ | +$8 | $46 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 28.6¢ | 29¢ | $-33 | $110 | 30/06/2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 67.4¢ | 100¢ | $-82 | $778 | 30/06/2026 |