Win rate
43.2%
35 W / 46 L
Total PnL
$-1
realized $-889 · unrealized $889
Portfolio
$889
volume $31,081
Predictions
179
6.3/day · avg $174
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 69% +$138
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 31¢ | 28¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Spread: Warriors (-13.5) | Kings | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Warriors | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Mentions 100% +$136
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | HMBLE | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Geopolitics 29% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 73¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 74¢ | 43¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 88¢ | 86¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | No | 63¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 20% $-73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 9? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 16¢ | 22¢ | $-10 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 88¢ | 78¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 18% $-93
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83¢ | 83¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? | No | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 7¢ | 1¢ | +$12 | win |
Other 39% $-302
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 10¢ | 4¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitano | Stefano Napolitano | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 31.0¢ | 28¢ | $-3 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | HMBLE | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $74 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $43 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $63 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $37 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 6.9¢ | 1¢ | +$12 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $51 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? | No | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $24 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | No | 12.8¢ | 1¢ | $-15 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 32.8¢ | 1¢ | $-27 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 69.6¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | $47 | 12/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Hawks | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $49 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 9? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 10/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 09/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Ducks | Predators | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Utah | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $46 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-13.5) | Kings | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $29 | 08/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Warriors | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |