Win rate
96.4%
2716 W / 101 L
Total PnL
$2,075
realized $-28,858 · unrealized $30,932
Portfolio
$30,932
volume $3,916,366
Predictions
4,098
10.2/day · avg $956
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 88% +$2,278
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$341 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 87% +$531
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Politics 80% +$148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Weather 100% +$53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Esports 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
Other 72% $-1,654
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-130 | loss |
Crypto 98% $-4,049
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Down | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $42,272 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $21,261 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $2,089 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $12,352 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,995 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $44 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Chicago White Sox | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | $1,078 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $19,980 | 18/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $485 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $859 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $29,970 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $970 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $20,728 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $5,189 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $4,018 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $6,543 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $95 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $744 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $426 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | Under | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $450 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $43,432 | 16/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,397 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,998 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $11,763 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $39,960 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $19,980 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $18,435 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $14,985 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Panthers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $10,939 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $1,012 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $790 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $3,783 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $4,505 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $460 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $34,965 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $970 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $13,742 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,995 | 14/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $610 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | $475 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $960 | 13/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $28,498 | 13/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames | Flames | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $11,864 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $23,168 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $14,849 | 13/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $2,982 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $10,303 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,994 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,995 | 13/04/2026 |