lomneivan

Elections 67% +$75,655 $363,162 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6¢	7¢	+$45	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	14¢	1¢	$-2,127	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	83¢	92¢	$-126	loss
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1,598	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	63¢	0¢	$-8,059	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	71¢	82¢	+$4,641	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	46¢	82¢	+$9,969	win
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	50¢	82¢	+$6,084	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	41¢	82¢	+$13,272	win
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$17,010 $194,990 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	77¢	92¢	+$2,450	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	91¢	99¢	+$14,560	win

Other 100% +$6,268 $123,994 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	11¢	14¢	+$1,504	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	95¢	100¢	+$4,072	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	96¢	99¢	+$693	win