Maskache2

Weather 33% +$26,801 $177,217 vol · 849 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	No	25¢	0¢	$-631	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 18?	Yes	34¢	29¢	$-352	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-743	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?	No	4¢	0¢	$-108	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?	No	10¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 15?	No	90¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$176	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$150	win
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 15?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$0	win

Culture 44% +$810 $3,078 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-161	loss
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-136	loss
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$800	win
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	22¢	100¢	+$390	win
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	30¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	10¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	21¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Sports 57% +$350 $2,976 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 24?	Down	49¢	0¢	+$1	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 24?	Up	49¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$26	win
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	44¢	100¢	$-143	loss
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	2¢	0¢	$-210	loss

Crypto 100% +$18 $114 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$18	win

Esports 50% $-187 $1,460 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Pigeons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs	The Last Resort	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Ivory	46¢	50¢	+$25	win
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Flame Sharks (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	Flame Sharks	37¢	0¢	$-211	loss

Tech 0% $-202 $202 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of January?	No	13¢	0¢	$-202	loss

Elections 20% $-437 $2,839 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	45¢	34¢	$-20	loss
Another Canada election called by June 30?	Yes	20¢	4¢	$-367	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	22¢	9¢	$-275	loss
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$235	win

Finance 43% $-464 $2,324 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-3	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?	Up	20¢	0¢	+$14	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30?	Up	1¢	0¢	$-188	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$50	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	50¢	0¢	+$50	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?	Down	13¢	0¢	$-181	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	Up	22¢	100¢	+$262	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?	Up	8¢	0¢	$-303	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?	Down	29¢	100¢	+$92	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?	Down	2¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Geopolitics 27% $-774 $2,197 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	80¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-221	loss
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?	No	5¢	0¢	$-191	loss
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	2¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	Yes	16¢	0¢	+$161	win
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	No	18¢	0¢	$-112	loss
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	No	18¢	0¢	$-180	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Other 25% $-1,674 $19,839 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	6¢	57¢	$-6	loss
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-11	loss
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	25¢	4¢	$-21	loss
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-1,641	loss
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?	No	4¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	No	4¢	100¢	$-31	loss
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-109	loss
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Politics 12% $-1,716 $8,714 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-645	loss
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	1¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-450	loss
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 28, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?	No	30¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?	No	20¢	100¢	$-100	loss