Win rate
31.5%
93 W / 202 L
Total PnL
$8,981
realized $7,780 · unrealized $1,201
Portfolio
$1,201
volume $629,011
Predictions
999
14.3/day · avg $630
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/01/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 32% +$4,400
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 29¢ | 27¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 94¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | No | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 18¢ | 46¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | FC Universitatea Cluj | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | FC Porto | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
Elections 27% +$2,278
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called? | No | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
| Will Trump say "Rig" or "Rigged" in his speech after the election is called? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Bitcoin all time high day after election? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$3,667 | win |
| Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Crypto 31% +$1,658
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | Yes | 20¢ | 15¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 11? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Moo Deng be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? | BTC | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Ethena token (FDV) more than 15 billion a day after launch? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | loss |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 31% +$721
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Trump declassifies Diddy list? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Economy 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
Geopolitics 40% $-59
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | No | 27¢ | 36¢ | +$6 | win |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | No | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Mentions 25% $-61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Weather 0% $-139
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 1? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on April 1? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 26? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Sports 0% $-293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala say "inflation" 3 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| $PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Culture 52% $-1,012
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "Bandi: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Madagascar" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Bandi: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Madagascar" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | Yes | 20.4¢ | 15¢ | $-20 | $85 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $84 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Bandi: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Madagascar" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Bandi: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Madagascar" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $103 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-1.5) | FC Universitatea Cluj | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $143 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | $94 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $28 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? | Yes | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $54 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 69.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $28 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 1? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $71 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on April 1? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $127 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 53.5¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 26? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $34 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | No | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24? | Yes | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | FC Porto | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $44 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5) | Olympique Lyonnais | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 19/03/2026 |
| FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 19/03/2026 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Over | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $50 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | $43 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $44 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-872 | $872 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $43 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 12, 2026? | No | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $38 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12? | Yes | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 12/03/2026 |
| Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 | Over | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 12/03/2026 |
| Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 11? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 12/03/2026 |