Win rate
29.2%
992 W / 2405 L
Total PnL
$66,764
realized $53,625 · unrealized $13,139
Portfolio
$13,139
volume $19,314,491
Predictions
3,006
21.9/day · avg $6,425
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/07/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 27% +$41,625
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in May 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-161 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-261 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | $-163 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $-274 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$95 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-287 | loss |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-400 | loss |
Finance 90% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Deel IPO in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Elections 67% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Adelita Grijalva win the Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Deja Foxx win the Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Culture 33% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HBO Max: Stream TV & Movies be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
Sports 67% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025? | Yes | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 75% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| OpenAI IPO in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026?? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 17? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on November 17? | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 12? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Economy 50% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 3.5%? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | loss |
Crypto 56% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Other 51% $-90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 90¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Elon register the America Party in July? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "Tunnel" or "Cave" during his next video? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 62% $-103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | loss |
Geopolitics 67% $-191
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 9¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Powell say "Russia" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Israel strikes Syria by Friday? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | +$225 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | +$201 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | +$95 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $221 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $143 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-65 | $1,029 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-94 | $286 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-140 | $377 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-151 | $372 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-155 | $454 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-156 | $333 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-255 | $699 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | $-271 | $770 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-287 | $574 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$86 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | +$79 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $98 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $81 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $86 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 86.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $92 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $86 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $52 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $94 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $72 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $349 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $401 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $210 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $82 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $292 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $442 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | $349 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $70 | 14/04/2026 |