Win rate
80.3%
102 W / 25 L
Total PnL
$7,794
realized $-19,478 · unrealized $27,272
Portfolio
$27,272
volume $153,959
Predictions
129
3.2/day · avg $1,193
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 82% +$7,163
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $2B in 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Harmonix FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Crypto 89% +$440
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will prjx launch a token in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Tech 100% +$279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$9 | win |
Culture 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 25% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $-3 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $48 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | $-110 | $5,830 | 08/04/2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $78 | 01/04/2026 |
| Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $275 | 01/04/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: January | Yes | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $85 | 31/01/2026 |
| Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 56.2¢ | 100¢ | +$855 | $1,098 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $890 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $818 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | +$29 | $1,560 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $24 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will prjx launch a token in 2025? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $384 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 57.8¢ | 100¢ | $-81 | $615 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | $39 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 55.9¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $280 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $341 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $224 | 31/12/2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $33 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $317 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $113 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $184 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in November? | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $950 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-09? | Yes | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $79 | 09/11/2025 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 06/11/2025 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $186 | 02/11/2025 |
| Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | Yes | 54.7¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | $149 | 02/11/2025 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$401 | $934 | 01/01/1970 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $1,166 | 01/01/1970 |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $438 | 01/01/1970 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $265 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $89 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $285 | 01/01/1970 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 13.9¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $477 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 94.0¢ | 96¢ | +$82 | $3,394 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $9,292 | 28/05/2026 |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,937 | 28/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $759 | 31/05/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $68 | 30/06/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 89.5¢ | 94¢ | +$54 | $1,014 | 01/07/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 81.6¢ | 98¢ | +$48 | $245 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 16¢ | +$6 | $318 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.2¢ | 11¢ | $-5 | $224 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 9¢ | $-3 | $180 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 9¢ | $-3 | $174 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17.9¢ | 17¢ | $-15 | $358 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 7¢ | +$3 | $138 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | $66 | 20/07/2026 |