Win rate
52.6%
81 W / 73 L
Total PnL
$-1,314
realized $-5,906 · unrealized $4,592
Portfolio
$4,592
volume $119,090
Predictions
488
47.1/day · avg $244
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 50% +$219
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez | Leylah Fernandez | 72¢ | 62¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Washington Nationals | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | Kansas City Royals | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Other 42% +$133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Yes | 41¢ | 32¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 61¢ | 47¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 52¢ | 38¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65¢ | 62¢ | $-5 | loss |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Ben Shelton | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Veronika Podrez vs Katie Boulter | Veronika Podrez | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Joao Fonseca | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Tallahassee: Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Krueger | Tyler Zink | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Elections 44% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$2 | win |
| Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 25¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | Yes | 89¢ | 85¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$4 | win |
Finance 100% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Geopolitics 29% $-37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 16¢ | $-9 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 22¢ | +$8 | win |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 3¢ | $-26 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 70¢ | $-8 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 25% $-88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 70¢ | 57¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 76¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 58¢ | 48¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 66¢ | 61¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
Crypto 62% $-481
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Up | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Up | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Up | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Up | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Up | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $270 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Up | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $300 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Up | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $260 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Down | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Up | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $264 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Up | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $110 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 79.6¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $135 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? | Yes | 90.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $132 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Up | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Down | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Down | 60.2¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $83 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Down | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Down | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Down | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Down | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 59.3¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Up | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 35.4¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Down | 20.4¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Down | 79.3¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 69.1¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Up | 85.3¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $120 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 51¢ | $-5 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will FC Annecy win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 62.7¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 53.6¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 24.9¢ | 100¢ | +$268 | $97 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $65 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 57.9¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $157 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 53.5¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $119 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Up | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $102 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Up | 69.8¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $65 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Down | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |