Win rate
23.1%
3 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$-243
realized $-841 · unrealized $598
Portfolio
$598
volume $19,045
Predictions
48
12.0/day · avg $397
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 25% +$64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 76¢ | 54¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | Yes | 37¢ | 63¢ | +$108 | win |
Politics 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 43¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 0% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | Yes | 71¢ | 57¢ | $-107 | loss |
Recent Trades (13)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 66.3¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | $40 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 4¢ | $-7 | $29 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 15¢ | +$6 | $62 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 4¢ | $-7 | $23 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 1¢ | $-17 | $21 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 10¢ | $-8 | $54 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 4¢ | $-4 | $20 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | Yes | 37.2¢ | 63¢ | +$108 | $156 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 76.4¢ | 54¢ | $-7 | $23 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 1¢ | $-23 | $29 | 09/05/2026 |
| Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 1¢ | $-24 | $28 | 09/05/2026 |
| Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | Yes | 70.9¢ | 57¢ | $-107 | $495 | 09/05/2026 |