Win rate
49.1%
84 W / 87 L
Total PnL
$31,746
realized $30,209 · unrealized $1,537
Portfolio
$1,537
volume $1,325,693
Predictions
205
5.6/day · avg $6,467
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 52% +$28,777
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 22¢ | 26¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 52¢ | 31¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 16¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 26¢ | 22¢ | $-78 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$901 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | No | 20¢ | 4¢ | +$13 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 26¢ | 74¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 44% +$2,714
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 33¢ | 28¢ | $-232 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 3¢ | $-326 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 6¢ | +$39 | win |
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | win |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$2,945 | win |
Sports 45% +$150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | 76ers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Hornets | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | win |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | Celtics | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jazz | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) | Magic | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-17.5) | Hornets | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | Suns | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
Mentions 33% $-183
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 45% $-703
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | Yes | 32¢ | 46¢ | +$55 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 26¢ | 8¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 24¢ | 6¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 26¢ | 40¢ | $-504 | loss |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | Yes | 14¢ | 39¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 51¢ | 48¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-1,825 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$730 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 1¢ | $-32 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,825 | $1,849 | 17/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 93¢ | +$12,670 | $2,346 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,529 | $1,578 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | +$730 | $305 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 52.7¢ | 100¢ | +$701 | $780 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 100¢ | +$438 | $528 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 13.5¢ | 0¢ | +$180 | $195 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | 76ers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 19.6¢ | 2¢ | +$48 | $502 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $58 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $158 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | $108 | 14/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $235 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $178 | 10/04/2026 |
| Monaco vs. Barcelona | Barcelona | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-409 | $409 | 10/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 93¢ | +$8,117 | $328 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2,945 | $2,280 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $198 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 100¢ | $-235 | $318 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 48.6¢ | 7¢ | $-238 | $2,418 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $204 | 06/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Hornets | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$98 | $102 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | Celtics | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $135 | 05/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jazz | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) | Magic | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Pistons | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikos | Panathinaikos | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $48 | 02/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | +$302 | $481 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | 55.8¢ | 100¢ | +$296 | $731 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | +$265 | $270 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | $3,871 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$203 | $1,210 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$173 | $67 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | $765 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$148 | $295 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | +$101 | $3,196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-17.5) | Hornets | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$89 | $517 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$52 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | +$37 | $47 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $3,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $260 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 63.9¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $106 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $377 | 31/03/2026 |