AIexparker

Culture 100% +$1,045 $1,154 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$1,045	win

Politics 50% +$278 $651 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	39¢	44¢	+$13	win
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?	No	14¢	0¢	+$325	win
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?	No	1¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Geopolitics 46% $-1,239 $8,491 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$43	win
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	21¢	100¢	+$39	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	56¢	26¢	$-44	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	46¢	46¢	+$0	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	64¢	60¢	$-9	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	44¢	100¢	+$111	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	Yes	26¢	100¢	$-900	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	No	88¢	0¢	$-216	loss
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-438	loss

Other 0% $-1,377 $1,725 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	36¢	36¢	$-4	loss
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	16¢	0¢	$-1,048	loss
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-326	loss