luti

Politics 57% +$2,183 $10,979 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$264	win
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-175	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$2,074	win
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Crypto 71% +$621 $5,832 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	55¢	100¢	+$496	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	27¢	0¢	+$71	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	5¢	0¢	$-482	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	45¢	0¢	$-336	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	69¢	100¢	+$672	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$162	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	93¢	100¢	+$38	win

Sports 0% $-68 $68 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-68	loss

Elections 60% $-235 $5,308 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	56¢	55¢	$-36	loss
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?	Yes	19¢	100¢	+$253	win
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-642	loss
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36¢	43¢	+$137	win

Other 14% $-809 $3,304 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	19¢	6¢	$-15	loss
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	53¢	32¢	$-561	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	71¢	99¢	+$414	win
Diddy guilty of all charges?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?	Yes	85¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-500	loss

Geopolitics 22% $-950 $5,724 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	No	63¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$37	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-148	loss
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	1¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-659	loss
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$14	win
Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-17	loss