apolo7

Weather 71% +$1 $644 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on April 18?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 40% +$1 $1,478 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	No	100¢	99¢	$-4	loss
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$5	win

Geopolitics 75% +$0 $2,322 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% +$-0 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	29¢	24¢	+$-0	—

Mentions 67% $-0 $252 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 0% $-7 $4,209 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	Yes	39¢	38¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 90% $-9 $3,725 vol · 69 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	56¢	51¢	$-4	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 6?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on April 4?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 4?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on April 3?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Tech 29% $-56 $46,564 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210 have the top AI model on April 10, 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 3% $-80 $82,454 vol · 104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	98¢	97¢	$-2	loss
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	52¢	32¢	+$0	—
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	44¢	46¢	+$8	win
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $40 end of December?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 2% $-122 $100,896 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27¢	27¢	+$1	win
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	100¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	100¢	99¢	$-3	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	99¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 12% $-198 $120,515 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-11	loss
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	55¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28¢	19¢	$-9	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	11¢	10¢	+$4	win
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	79¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	Yes	85¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$5	win

Other 18% $-525 $220,678 vol · 98 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	84¢	82¢	+$3	win
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	28¢	30¢	$-4	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	55¢	52¢	$-2	loss
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	100¢	100¢	$-4	loss