Win rate
38.0%
175 W / 285 L
Total PnL
$-6,345
realized $-7,464 · unrealized $1,119
Portfolio
$1,119
volume $747,111
Predictions
746
10.4/day · avg $1,001
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 39% +$2,812
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$337 | win |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 52¢ | 92¢ | $-166 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
Culture 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Politics 0% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-66 | loss |
Other 29% $-552
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-433 | loss |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Crypto 38% $-13,030
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Up | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-492 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Up | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 61.1¢ | 93¢ | +$1,377 | $5,123 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Up | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Down | 66.8¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 15.3¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $124 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $-492 | $524 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $-460 | $489 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Down | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $153 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $-326 | $346 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Down | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $-216 | $230 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Down | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-283 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | $205 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | Down | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-238 | $250 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Down | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-233 | $245 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Down | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $293 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Down | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 36.1¢ | 0¢ | $-243 | $255 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Down | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-129 | $137 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Down | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | $216 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Down | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $80 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Down | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $113 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Down | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | $490 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Down | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $142 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Down | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | +$96 | $80 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 8.7¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $65 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Up | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Down | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $101 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Down | 12.8¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Down | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | Up | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Down | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $391 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 55.6¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 29.7¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $170 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Down | 18.9¢ | 0¢ | $-188 | $176 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Down | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | $325 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Up | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $37 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Up | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $170 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Down | 43.2¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $103 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Down | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $169 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Up | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $315 | 13/04/2026 |