Win rate
71.1%
59 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-4,510
realized $-36,125 · unrealized $31,615
Portfolio
$31,615
volume $651,345
Predictions
82
0.8/day · avg $7,943
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 85% +$262
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-140 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 59¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 93% +$174
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$35 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% $-246
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April? | No | 98¢ | 78¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Janice Tjen vs Anna Bondar | Anna Bondar | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-170 | loss |
Economy 50% $-722
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$19,600 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20,000 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | win |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-11,093 | loss |
Sports 44% $-4,046
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | $-1,121 | loss |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1,297 | loss |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | Gaethje | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Lewis | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Yadong | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19,600 | $20,000 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20,000 | $20,000 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | $54,240 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in February? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,081 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,398 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $44 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $210 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $15,000 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $126 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,233 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $-836 | $836 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | $-927 | $927 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 36.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1,121 | $1,707 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $202 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,297 | $1,297 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $4,524 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in January? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $991 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $2,397 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,674 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,320 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,257 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $354 | 01/02/2026 |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | Gaethje | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $40 | 25/01/2026 |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $56 | 25/01/2026 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $66 | 25/01/2026 |
| UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Lewis | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 25/01/2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Yadong | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 25/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 63.3¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $82 | 18/01/2026 |
| Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$618 | $11,517 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | +$391 | $4,846 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $19,800 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $950 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $3,163 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 42.8¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $306 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 100 ETH in 2025? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $1,623 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $1,999 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 60 ETH in 2025? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $29 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $101 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,990 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $69 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $118 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $50 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31? | No | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,222 | $2,222 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$570 | $8,932 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $6,526 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $2,923 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $440 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $2,255 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $117 | 31/12/2025 |