Win rate
50.0%
649 W / 649 L
Total PnL
$-21,253
realized $-32,996 · unrealized $11,742
Portfolio
$11,742
volume $12,870,641
Predictions
1,317
8.5/day · avg $9,773
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 60% +$7,841
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 41¢ | 40¢ | $-40 | loss |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner | Fluxo W7M | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$3,699 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$2,310 | win |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | LYON | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | win |
| LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$900 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-820 | loss |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | EDward Gaming | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,001 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BNK FEARX | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | loss |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | LNG Esports | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-2,119 | loss |
Elections 100% +$769
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 51¢ | 40¢ | +$698 | win |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Another Canada election called in 2025? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 71% $-101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | 60¢ | 54¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 81¢ | 50¢ | $-21 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$470 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$264 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| US strikes Iran by October 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Yes | 19¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
Economy 0% $-669
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-585 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
Sports 48% $-1,061
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 44¢ | 65¢ | +$287 | win |
| NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5 | Under 4.5 | 40¢ | 59¢ | +$150 | win |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Trail Blazers | 49¢ | 48¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5 | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Rockets | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-2,400 | loss |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Thunder | 49¢ | 48¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5 | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | win |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Timberwolves | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-649 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-1,560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-1,008 | loss |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 89¢ | 50¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-216 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | win |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Phantom launch a token in 2025? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Token Launch Party Parlay | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$187 | win |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 25% $-1,594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will 'Otonoke' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-761 | loss |
| Will 'Bling-Bang-Bang-Born' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-835 | loss |
Finance 43% $-1,984
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-1,605 | loss |
| Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-295 | loss |
| Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | win |
| Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 29? | Down | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-860 | loss |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 28? | Up | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27? | Up | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$350 | win |
Tech 55% $-2,066
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$230 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 29? | Down | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on January 28? | Down | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | loss |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 28? | Down | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-590 | loss |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 28? | Down | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | loss |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 27? | Up | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | win |
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down - October 15 | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
Politics 56% $-3,566
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | No | 82¢ | 48¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Trump try and fire Powell before June? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-1,210 | loss |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro attend presidential inauguration? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-2,576 | loss |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | Yes | 63¢ | 0¢ | +$219 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Other 52% $-26,980
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 97¢ | +$23 | win |
| Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-2,125 | loss |
| Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | loss |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 89¢ | 52¢ | $-10 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 71¢ | 70¢ | $-25 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 66¢ | 44¢ | $-446 | loss |
| LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner | paiN Gaming | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | win |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | GIANTX | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-2,579 | loss |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$960 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-276 | $276 | 19/04/2026 |
| Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5 | Yes | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | $1,200 | 19/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Rockets | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,400 | $2,400 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 71.0¢ | 70¢ | $-25 | $3,550 | 19/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) | Thunder | 49.0¢ | 48¢ | $-24 | $2,338 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 41.0¢ | 40¢ | $-40 | $1,640 | 19/04/2026 |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5 | Yes | 49.6¢ | 48¢ | $-48 | $1,133 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 66.0¢ | 44¢ | $-446 | $1,320 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner | Fluxo W7M | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,699 | $1,438 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,310 | $1,416 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner | paiN Gaming | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $1,000 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$300 | $2,400 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | GIANTX | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-462 | $462 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Timberwolves | 50.3¢ | 0¢ | $-649 | $3,520 | 18/04/2026 |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5 | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,140 | $1,140 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | GIANTX | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2,579 | $2,579 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | BNK FEARX | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$960 | $3,040 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner | Oh My God | 51.5¢ | 100¢ | +$654 | $695 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | ThunderTalk Gaming | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$347 | $1,692 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | Kiwoom DRX | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,050 | $1,050 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | Oh My God | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,220 | $2,500 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Kiwoom DRX | 38.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,464 | $1,538 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,120 | $2,120 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,650 | $2,650 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | Vivo Keyd Stars | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3,435 | $2,944 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,300 | $2,700 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 42.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,836 | $1,355 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$628 | $654 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | LYON | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $1,820 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-660 | $660 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,005 | $1,005 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,500 | $2,500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,900 | $2,900 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-3,213 | $3,213 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $-4,750 | $4,750 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-6.5) | Heat | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,350 | $2,650 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner | FURIA Esports | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$926 | $2,029 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner | FURIA Esports | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $173 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 50.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2,116 | $2,138 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-13.5) | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,960 | $2,040 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | Cloud9 | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,200 | $800 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner | GIANTX | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$820 | $3,180 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SK Gaming | 32.2¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | $1,612 | 13/04/2026 |
| Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | GIANTX | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner | Shifters | 34.8¢ | 0¢ | $-269 | $1,740 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-360 | $360 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Thunder | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,049 | $2,450 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Fnatic | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,106 | $2,120 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) | Heat | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,245 | $1,913 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: 76ers (-14.5) | 76ers | 51.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,555 | $1,659 | 12/04/2026 |