0x19c172F3Ba943fAb5F23301eea6961Ee170Ea397-1768459356031

Elections 0% $-1 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	79¢	84¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 0% $-70 $70 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	35¢	0¢	$-70	loss

Tech 0% $-76 $220 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-76	loss

Finance 0% $-91 $427 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	47¢	0¢	$-91	loss

Sports 33% $-803 $2,484 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	16¢	15¢	$-33	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	13¢	2¢	$-530	loss
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Nuggets vs. Suns	Suns	45¢	0¢	$-142	loss
Bucks vs. Suns: O/U 216.5	Under	79¢	100¢	+$69	win
Spurs vs. Kings	Spurs	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Kings	5¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Spurs vs. Clippers	Spurs	63¢	100¢	+$18	win

Politics 12% $-1,223 $6,523 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	35¢	27¢	$-2	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	70¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	19¢	64¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	31¢	1¢	$-1,583	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	47¢	43¢	$-15	loss
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	27¢	10¢	$-78	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?	No	69¢	100¢	+$512	win

Other 33% $-1,735 $19,938 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	58¢	0¢	$-569	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	20¢	0¢	$-220	loss
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	No	62¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-38	loss
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	No	46¢	100¢	$-89	loss
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-148	loss
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-1,101	loss
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	No	76¢	100¢	+$207	win

Geopolitics 41% $-2,279 $27,570 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-930	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$439	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	28¢	100¢	$-67	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	79¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	53¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	43¢	30¢	$-6	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	55¢	83¢	$-10	loss
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	59¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	24¢	8¢	+$0	—
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	53¢	6¢	$-36	loss