Win rate
48.8%
61 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$3,335
realized $1,920 · unrealized $1,415
Portfolio
$1,415
volume $162,502
Predictions
549
7.4/day · avg $296
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$1,930
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 38¢ | 52¢ | +$7 | win |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 55¢ | 82¢ | +$13 | win |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 30¢ | 24¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 32¢ | 48¢ | +$498 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 17¢ | 36¢ | +$3 | win |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
Crypto 43% +$687
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 44¢ | 56¢ | +$332 | win |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 70¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 42¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 12¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 86¢ | $-21 | loss |
| ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Sports 56% +$271
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | win |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Over | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Tech 100% +$101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 46¢ | 82¢ | +$42 | win |
Culture 67% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Finance 33% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,400 in March? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 16? | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $49 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $38 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will a 1 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $37 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Trove refund ICO participants? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $67 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | Yes | 28.3¢ | 29¢ | $-17 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,400 in March? | Yes | 27.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will OpTic Texas win DreamHack Major 2? | Yes | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $62 | 17/03/2026 |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 16? | Down | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $43 | 16/03/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Under | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 09/03/2026 |
| Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Paris Gentle Mates (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | Paris Gentle Mates | 43.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | $123 | 01/03/2026 |
| Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | OpTic Texas | 55.2¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $68 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February? | Yes | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $70 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? | Yes | 44.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $41 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | Yes | 44.2¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $34 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $26 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $133 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 24? | No | 27.5¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $32 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 23? | No | 18.1¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $48 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 23? | No | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$41 | $21 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 22? | No | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 20? | No | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $29 | 20/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 19? | No | 24.2¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $26 | 19/02/2026 |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $34 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 18? | No | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $24 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 11? | No | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $26 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 11? | No | 27.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $37 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 11? | No | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $22 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 10? | No | 26.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $34 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 9? | No | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $28 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 9? | No | 35.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $36 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | $29 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $35 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $37 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | 36.4¢ | 37¢ | $-31 | $182 | 01/02/2026 |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $29 | 20/01/2026 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Patriots | 48.2¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $23 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $95 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $24 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 18.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $52 | 01/01/2026 |