Win rate
18.0%
18 W / 82 L
Total PnL
$-345
realized $-1,653 · unrealized $1,309
Portfolio
$1,309
volume $174,346
Predictions
105
2.5/day · avg $1,660
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$71
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Natus Vincere | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-34
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 15% $-44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Rangers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Rockets | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Rangers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Hawks | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
Other 32% $-417
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats | Utah State Aggies | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5) | North Dakota State Bison | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5 | Over | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $1,116 | 13/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $87 | 25/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Maple Leafs | Rangers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $73 | 25/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Natus Vincere | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $80 | 23/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Rockets | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $93 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 22/03/2026 |
| Jets vs. Rangers | Rangers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 22/03/2026 |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats | Utah State Aggies | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $81 | 20/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $59 | 19/03/2026 |
| Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5) | North Dakota State Bison | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 19/03/2026 |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 18/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Hawks | Hawks | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $84 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $56 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $732 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,056 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,071 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13? | No | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $62 | 13/03/2026 |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Predators | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 13/03/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Timberwolves | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 10/03/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Suns | 38.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $61 | 09/03/2026 |
| Flames vs. Capitals | Capitals | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $53 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $92 | 07/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $66 | 07/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Rangers | Maple Leafs | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 06/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $82 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $101 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03? | No | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02? | No | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 02/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $674 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $617 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $785 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $969 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,008 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $902 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $568 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $613 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $483 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $662 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,129 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,492 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,692 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $493 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $589 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $622 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $631 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $634 | 20/07/2026 |