Win rate
28.7%
25 W / 62 L
Total PnL
$-131
realized $-1,186 · unrealized $1,055
Portfolio
$1,055
volume $118,913
Predictions
104
2.0/day · avg $1,143
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 27% +$233
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | win |
| Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Geopolitics 92% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 6% $-267
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Rangers vs. Wild | Wild | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Knicks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Hurricanes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets | Panthers | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Illinois Fighting Illini | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | $271 | 26/03/2026 |
| Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $608 | 15/03/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Wild | Wild | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 14/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Clippers | Knicks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $94 | 09/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Oilers | Hurricanes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $70 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets | Panthers | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 06/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-157 | $157 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $91 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 9? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 04/02/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $91 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $732 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,044 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,612 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,629 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,242 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,032 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,093 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,794 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $723 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $700 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,029 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $651 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $776 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,798 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,984 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,827 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $319 | 20/07/2026 |