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0x174B27feF5E1C06ed52c1DDFF29720b23cb65A55-1766575695801
0x174b27fef5e1c06ed52c1ddff29720b23cb65a55 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
39.6%
19 W / 29 L
Total PnL
$-10,843
realized $-22,262 · unrealized $11,420
Portfolio
$11,420
volume $299,332
Predictions
57
1.6/day · avg $5,251
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 45¢ | 55¢ | +$11 | win |
Politics 36% $-468
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 24¢ | 14¢ | $-2,239 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-583
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 2PM ET | Up | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11PM ET | Up | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11PM ET | Down | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-377 | loss |
Geopolitics 38% $-13,514
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$278 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 52¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 10¢ | 2¢ | $-881 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-11,269 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | 23¢ | 6¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Recent Trades (48)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $2,883 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $1,197 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 32.8¢ | 8¢ | $-122 | $1,276 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $500 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $500 | 08/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 10.1¢ | 8¢ | $-1,041 | $580 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$727 | $2,890 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $1,674 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026? | No | 47.4¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,085 | $6,229 | 31/01/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 2PM ET | Up | 42.7¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $335 | 10/01/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11PM ET | Up | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $452 | 26/12/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 10PM ET | Down | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $326 | 26/12/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 11PM ET | Down | 61.8¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $120 | 26/12/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25? | Yes | 86.1¢ | 0¢ | $-377 | $377 | 25/12/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 85.4¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $300 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $300 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $2,712 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $300 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 65.1¢ | 66¢ | $-12 | $6,305 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 43.4¢ | 44¢ | +$3,448 | $21,495 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 45.0¢ | 55¢ | +$11 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$481 | $3,791 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $294 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 1¢ | $-57 | $160 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 36.4¢ | 8¢ | $-211 | $2,949 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | 36.2¢ | 5¢ | +$1 | $2,837 | 15/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 21.0¢ | 22¢ | $-67 | $488 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $45 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 30.0¢ | 20¢ | $-74 | $554 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 13.0¢ | 14¢ | $-2,237 | $5,349 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | 23.0¢ | 6¢ | $-4 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 22.0¢ | 2¢ | $-850 | $2,367 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 9.8¢ | 2¢ | $-881 | $1,315 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | 69.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 30/06/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 23.7¢ | 14¢ | $-2,239 | $9,688 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 87.9¢ | 0¢ | $-11,269 | $11,287 | 30/06/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 57.6¢ | 100¢ | +$278 | $528 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $5,033 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 52.1¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | $55 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 64.6¢ | 66¢ | $-8 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |